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India TV CVoter opinion poll predicts hung assembly in Assam, LDF win in Kerala, TMC in Bengal, AIADMK in Tamil Nadu

India TV Politics Desk 01 Apr 2016, 20:33:27 IST
India TV Politics Desk

New Delhi, April 1: The forthcoming elections in Assam may throw up a hung assembly, while the Left Democratic Front is going to stage a comeback in Kerala, predicts India TV-CVoter opinion poll, results of which were telecast tonight on the channel. 

The ruling Trinamool Congress and AIADMK are poised to retain power in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu respectively with comfortable majorities, predicts the opinion poll. 

In Assam, the BJP-led alliance is projected to win 55 with the ruling Congress projected to win 53 seats in the 126-member assembly, says the poll.

In Tamil Nadu, Chief Minister Jayalalithaa's AIADMK-led combine may get a comfortable majority with 130 seats in a house of 234, with the DMK-Congress alliance projected to win 70 seats. BJP-led alliance may not win a single assembly seat, according to the poll.  'Others' may win 34 seats. The opinion poll was conducted in the fourth week of March, according to C-Voter. 

Vote percentagewise, AIADMK's vote share may fall to 39.1 pc, down from 51.9 pc last time, while the DMK-Congress alliance's vote share may drop to 31.8 pc from 39.5 pc last time. BJP-led alliance's voteshare is projected to rise to 4.1, from 2.2 last time. 

In Kerala, the Left Democratic Front is projected to get a comfortable majority with 86 seats in a house of 140, with the Congress-led United Democratic Front projected to win 53 seats. The BJP-led alliance may win only one seat, says the opinion poll.

Vote percentage wise, LDF is projected to get 43.8 pc, up by 0.2 per cent, while UDF is projected to get 41.3 pc (down from 45.8 pc last time). 

In West Bengal, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is projected to retain power, with her party Trinamool Congress projected to win  160 seats in a House of 294. The party had scored a landslide victory winning 184 seats five years ago. This time the CPI(M)-Congress combine is projected to win 137 seats in all (Left front 106 and Congress 21), while BJP is projected to win only four and 'others'  may win three seats. 

The Left Front's tally may go up to 106 seats(up from 60 seats five years ago), while the Congress' share of seats may shrink from 42 five years ago to 21 this time.  

Vote percentage wise, Trinamool Congress voteshare may fall to 39.6 pc from 38.9 pc last time, while the Left Front's share may steeply fall to 31.4 pc from 39.7 pc last time. Congress' voteshare may slip to 8.3 pc from 9.1 pc last time. BJP's voteshare is projected to rise to 4.1 pc from 2.2 pc last time.

In  Assam, the BJP-led alliance is projected to win 55 seats in a House of 126, nine short of majority.  Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi's Congress party is projected to win 53 seats, down from 78 it won five years ago. Badruddin Ajmal's All Indian United Democratic Front is projected to win 12 seats, six less than last time, while 'Others' may win six. The BJP-led alliance includes the Asom Gana Parishad and Bodo People's Front.

Voting percentagewise, BJP-led alliance is projected to get 35 pc, up from 33.9 pc last time, while the ruling Congress voteshare may be reduced to 36.9 pc from 39.4 pc last time.  AIUDF's voteshare may drop to 12.1 pc from 12.6 pc last time.